THE EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON CAPITAL MARKETS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

Authors

  • Loso Judijanto IPOSS Jakarta, Indonesia
  • Fauziah Nur Hutauruk Universitas Imelda Medan
  • Amândio de Araújo Sarmento Universidade Nacional Timor Lorosa'e
  • Al-Amin Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya, Indonesia

Keywords:

Monetary Policy, Capital Markets, Emerging Markets.

Abstract

Monetary policy is recognised as having a significant influence on the economy, particularly through its impact on the capital market. The study conducted in this research uses the literature research method. The results found that the effects of interest rate changes and significant increases in liquidity often have a short-term positive impact on stock market indices. However, the findings also emphasise the need for policymakers to consider complicating factors such as global political or economic instability and high inflation expectations, which may reduce the effectiveness of monetary policy. Finally, the findings underline that the room for manoeuvre of monetary policy can be limited in a low interest rate environment, which calls for a more innovative and sensitive policy approach to external conditions.

References

Akalpler, E., & Hove, S. (2020). Monetary Policy and Capital Flow Implications on Economic Growth in BRICS Countries. SSRN Electronic Journal, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3720809

Badibanga, T. M. (2022). Capital Markets’ Development: Are African Countries Lagging? Monetary and Financial Systems in Africa, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 283–314. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-96225-8_13

Beckmann, J., Czudaj, R., & Osowski, T. (2021). Monetary Policy and Foreign Denominated Debt by Non-Bank Borrowers. Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit Und Kapital: Volume 54, Issue 3, 54(3), 423–446. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.54.3.423

Bellavitis, C., Fisch, C., & Vismara, S. (2023). Monetary Policy and Venture Capital Markets. Review of Corporate Finance, 3(4), 627–662. https://doi.org/10.1561/114.00000053

Choi, S., Smith, B. D., & Boyd, J. H. (2020). Inflation, Financial Markets, and Capital Formation. Handbook of Monetary Policy, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 449–475. https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429270949-37

Demekas, D. G., & Nerlich, A. (2020). Creating Domestic Capital Markets in Developing Countries: Perspectives from Market Participants. International Finance Corporation, Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.1596/33617

Dobkowitz, S., Gnewuch, M., & Weiß, M. (2022). 52nd Konstanz Seminar on Monetary Theory and Monetary Policy. Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit Und Kapital: Volume 55, Issue 1, 55(1), 137–144. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.55.1.137

Ha, J., Liu, H., & Rogers, J. (2023). Capital Controls in Emerging and Developing Economies and the Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy. Policy Research Working Papers, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-10582

Harrison, A., & Reed, R. R. (2023). Capital flows to developing countries: Implications for monetary policy across the globe. Review of International Economics, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.1111/roie.12703

Kampl, L.-M. (2021). Measuring the Short-Term Effects of the ECB’s Unconventional Monetary Policy on Financial Markets: A Review. Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit Und Kapital: Volume 54, Issue 1, 54(1), 37–77. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.54.1.37

Kim, K., Lee, K., & Kwon, O. (2024). A systematic literature review of the empirical studies on STEAM education in Korea: 2011–2019. Disciplinary and Interdisciplinary Education in …, Query date: 2024-05-10 07:14:07. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-52924-5_6

Levy-Orlik, N. (2023). Limitations of monetary policies in open developing economies: External capital inflows and sterilisation policies. Monetary Policy Challenges in Latin America, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 59–77. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781802200706.00015

Mészáros, M., & Kiss, G. D. (2020). Spillover effects of unconventional monetary policy on capital markets in the shadow of the Eurozone: A sample of non-Eurozone countries. Review of Economic Perspectives, 20(2), 171–195. https://doi.org/10.2478/revecp-2020-0008

Michelena, G., & Toledo, F. (2023). Global financial cycle and monetary policy rules: A Neo-Kaleckian model for emerging markets and developing economies. Monetary Policy Challenges in Latin America, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 78–95. https://doi.org/10.4337/9781802200706.00016

Morales, J. A., & Reding, P. (2021a). Modelling Monetary Policy. Monetary Policy in Low Financial Development Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 293–316. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198854715.003.0007

Morales, J. A., & Reding, P. (2021b). Monetary Policy Instruments. Monetary Policy in Low Financial Development Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 89–144. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198854715.003.0003

Nguyen, D., Boeren, E., Maitra, S., & ... (2024). A review of the empirical research literature on PLCs for teachers in the Global South: Evidence, implications, and directions. … Development in Education, Query date: 2024-05-10 07:14:07. https://doi.org/10.1080/19415257.2023.2238728

Ospina, M. A. G. (2022). Optimal Monetary Policy in Developing Countries: The Role of Informality. SSRN Electronic Journal, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4302041

Otoman, V., & Garcia-Vigonte, F. (2022). Monetary Policy of the Developing Countries: The Case of the Philippines. SSRN Electronic Journal, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4121627

Papageorgiou, C., Melina, G., Cantelmo, A., & Fatouros, N. (2022). Monetary Policy in Disaster-Prone Developing Countries. IMF Working Papers, 2022(55), 1–1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400204371.001

Perego, E. R., Bodart, V., & Courtoy, F. (2024). Us Monetary Policy Spillovers to Developing Countries: The Commodity-Financial Channel. Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4724150

Schlotmann, O. (2021). Is Now the Time for Modern Monetary Theory or Permanent Monetary Finance? Credit and Capital Markets – Kredit Und Kapital: Volume 54, Issue 1, 54(1), 17–36. https://doi.org/10.3790/ccm.54.1.17

Signe, F. X., Poutineau, J. C., & Gankou, J. M. (2024). Monetary Policy with Heterogeneous Agents in Developing Countries: The Case of CEMAC zone. Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3964163/v1

Sullivan, M. (2024). Understanding and predicting monetary policy framework choice in developing countries. Economic Modelling, 139(Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29), 106783–106783. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106783

Titumir, R. A. M. (2021a). Fiscal policy and productive capacity. Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Developing Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 131–161. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003201847-4

Titumir, R. A. M. (2021b). Framing fiscal and monetary policies for developing countries. Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Developing Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 37–89. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003201847-2

Titumir, R. A. M. (2021c). Monetary policy, growth and employment. Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Developing Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 205–240. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003201847-6

Titumir, R. A. M. (2021d). Price, Inflation and Monetary Policy. Fiscal and Monetary Policies in Developing Countries, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 241–268. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003201847-7

Vyshnevskyi, I., Jombo, W., & Sohn, W. (2024). The clarity of monetary policy communication and financial market volatility in developing economies. Emerging Markets Review, 59(Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29), 101121–101121. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2024.101121

Wutscher, C. (2024). The ECB’s New Green Monetary Policy. Sustainable Finance in Europe, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29, 409–462. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-53696-0_11

Yepez, J. (2021). Unintended Consequences of U. S. Monetary Policy Shocks: Dutch Disease and Capital Flow Measures in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies. SSRN Electronic Journal, Query date: 2024-06-26 11:25:29. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4026408

Downloads

Published

06/26/2024

Issue

Section

Articles